PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 0
SPA
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 2
PSV
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2010 |
PSV
3 - 0
DVS
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PSV
0 - 1
TWE
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 2
PSV
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 1
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TWE
2 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
0 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
AJA
12%
17%
71%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |