PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
PSV
3 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
VVV
1 - 1
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
FEY
0 - 1
PSV
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 1
PSV
23%
27%
51%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2008 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
1 - 2
RJC
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |