PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 2
AZA
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 6
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 0
TWE
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 1
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 3
PSV
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 4
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |