PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
AVE
0 - 2
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
30%
25%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
TWE
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
65%
18%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
MVV
2 - 1
EXC
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 3
SPA
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
TWE
1 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |