PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 5
PSV
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
PSV
2 - 1
HFC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
AJA
3 - 3
PSV
64%
19%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
PSV
5 - 0
GAE
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
FOR
0 - 0
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
2 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
0 - 0
EXC
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |