PSV vs Excelsior analysis

PSV Excelsior
88 ELO 67
0.7% Tilt 5.7%
105º General ELO ranking 562º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
82%
PSV
12.5%
Draw
5.5%
Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
PSV
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
Excelsior
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSV
+9%
+8%
Excelsior

ELO progression

PSV
Excelsior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 1979
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
26%
27%
47%
88 79 9 0
24 Oct. 1979
PSV
PSV
2 - 0
Saint-Étienne
ASS
70%
19%
11%
88 85 3 0
20 Oct. 1979
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
ADO Den Haag
ADO
77%
15%
8%
88 76 12 0
06 Oct. 1979
MVV
MVV Maastricht
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
20%
26%
54%
88 71 17 0
03 Oct. 1979
PSV
PSV
1 - 0
Real Sporting
SPO
72%
18%
10%
88 84 4 0

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 1979
EXC
Excelsior
4 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
49%
25%
27%
65 70 5 0
20 Oct. 1979
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
4 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
62%
23%
16%
66 72 6 -1
07 Oct. 1979
EXC
Excelsior
2 - 2
Twente
TWE
19%
26%
56%
65 88 23 +1
30 Sep. 1979
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
75%
17%
8%
65 81 16 0
23 Sep. 1979
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
18%
25%
57%
66 88 22 -1