PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 2
PSV
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
PSV
2 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 1
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
MVV
2 - 1
PSV
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
PSV
1 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
EXC
4 - 0
NEC
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
ZWO
4 - 2
EXC
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 1
EXC
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |