PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
ADO
3 - 0
PSV
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
PSV
3 - 0
BOS
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1972 |
TWE
1 - 0
PSV
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
PSV
0 - 3
AJA
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
TEL
0 - 1
PSV
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 2
GAE
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
AMS
4 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 1
HFC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |