Europa League Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 3-6
PSV vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PSV
2 - 2
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
4 - 1
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
PSV
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
GLA
0 - 1
PSV
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 1
SLB
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
4 - 1
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
SLB
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |