Europa League Final
Global 3-0
PSV vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
UTR
0 - 1
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
0 - 0
PSV
50%
22%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
HFC
1 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 1
PSV
55%
22%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 3
PSG
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1978 |
MON
2 - 1
BAS
48%
23%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 4
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
0 - 0
PSV
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
4 - 1
NIC
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |