UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 4-4
PSV vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 2
WOL
61%
22%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 0
ARI
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NIC
3 - 2
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
PSV
0 - 0
SIO
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
SIO
1 - 4
BAS
15%
21%
63%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 3
STU
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCN
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 5
BAS
9%
17%
74%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
BAS
4 - 2
KRI
80%
13%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |