PSV vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 2
PSV
26%
23%
51%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 1
PSV
29%
23%
49%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 1
EIN
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
PSV
3 - 0
FCP
43%
25%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
PSV
5 - 0
SCP
40%
24%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
GIA
1 - 2
AZA
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
AZA
3 - 2
FCE
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 0
GIA
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AZA
3 - 0
HER
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |