Europa League Last 16
Global 4-1
PSV vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 1
NAC
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
PSV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UTR
0 - 4
PSV
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 1
PRG
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MPL
1 - 0
AUX
25%
30%
46%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
AUX
0 - 0
MON
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 1
PSV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LIL
1 - 0
AUX
32%
30%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
PAN
0 - 1
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |