PSV vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
NEC
0 - 5
PSV
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
BVB
1 - 1
PSV
45%
26%
30%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
PSV
0 - 0
RJC
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 2
PSV
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 3
BVB
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
AUX
1 - 0
REN
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
ARS
1 - 2
AUX
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
LYO
3 - 0
AUX
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
AUX
1 - 1
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 1
ARS
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |