PSV vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
4 - 2
PSV
9%
17%
75%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 0
PSV
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
6 - 1
UTR
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
5 - 0
ZUR
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 1
ARS
18%
23%
59%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 0
PSV
56%
21%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
BOG
0 - 1
ARS
22%
23%
56%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 2
LIV
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |