Champions League Last 16
Global 2-1
PSV vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 1
PSV
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 3
AZA
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
PSV
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
PSV
3 - 2
GAE
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
77%
16%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 3
ARS
23%
27%
50%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
WIG
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
23%
26%
52%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 1
TOT
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |