PSV vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
0 - 2
PSV
18%
23%
60%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BOS
0 - 3
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
RBK
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
UTR
0 - 0
PSV
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 1
WBA
86%
10%
4%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
TOT
4 - 5
ARS
17%
22%
60%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 1
ARS
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 1
PAN
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |