PSV vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 3
PSV
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 0
PSV
43%
26%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PSV
4 - 0
RKC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 4
PSV
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 0
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 1
BOL
81%
13%
7%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 0
BVB
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CHA
0 - 3
ARS
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
41%
26%
33%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |