PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 1
TEL
86%
10%
4%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 1
PSV
9%
17%
75%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
GAE
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
RKC
1 - 4
PSV
10%
17%
74%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
AJA
9 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
3%
|
89 | 47 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
31%
23%
45%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |