PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 1
OLP
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 1
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
OLP
4 - 2
PSV
28%
23%
50%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ADO
2 - 2
PSV
6%
15%
78%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
55%
21%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
LIL
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
55%
21%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |