PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
FCB
4 - 0
PSV
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 7
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
BAT
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 2
PSV
10%
16%
74%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
AEK
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
DYN
0 - 0
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 0
FCE
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |