PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
ZEN
3 - 0
PSV
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 0
FCD
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
PSV
0 - 1
ZEN
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 4
PSV
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 3
AJA
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAR
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
4 - 2
TWE
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |