PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
PSV
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
PSV
22%
25%
52%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 4
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 1
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |