PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 4
PSV
25%
24%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 2
FEY
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 1
ACM
35%
28%
37%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 0
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
RBC
1 - 4
AJA
15%
21%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |