PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2005 |
ACM
0 - 0
PSV
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 3
PSV
26%
24%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
FEN
3 - 0
PSV
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
PSV
2 - 0
RBC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 2
ARS
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |