PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
RBK
1 - 2
PSV
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 0
GRO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
PSV
4 - 0
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
AJA
3 - 0
MTA
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 3
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
AZA
0 - 0
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
BYM
4 - 0
AJA
55%
23%
23%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |