PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 5
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
PSV
3 - 0
BVO
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
EIN
0 - 5
PSV
4%
10%
86%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
RJC
1 - 3
PSV
26%
23%
52%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1999 |
MVV
1 - 4
AJA
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
AJA
5 - 2
UTR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
AJA
5 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |