PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 2
PSV
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
PSV
0 - 1
SCH
78%
13%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
PSV
1 - 0
FOR
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
FEY
0 - 0
PSV
40%
24%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
RKC
1 - 4
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1997 |
AJA
1 - 2
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
VOL
0 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
RKC
1 - 2
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
ATM
2 - 3
AJA
56%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
AJA
3 - 1
RJC
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |