PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
PSV
1 - 1
BOS
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
14%
23%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
PSV
3 - 4
RJC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
WIL
3 - 4
PSV
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
PSV
3 - 0
UTR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
5 - 0
MVV
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
1 - 2
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1989 |
AJA
5 - 2
VIT
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1989 |
ADO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |