PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
PSV
9 - 0
UTR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
TWE
2 - 3
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
PSV
6 - 1
BOS
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
PSV
7 - 3
ADO
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 3
PSV
16%
24%
61%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
SPA
2 - 0
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1987 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
AJA
5 - 2
ZWO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |