PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
GAE
0 - 2
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
FOR
0 - 1
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
PSV
4 - 0
BVV
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
PSV
3 - 1
SPA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
VVV
0 - 0
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 1
MFF
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1987 |
MFF
1 - 0
AJA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |