PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 0
PSV
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
PSV
0 - 0
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
MVV
1 - 1
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
BOS
2 - 1
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
79%
13%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1985 |
AJA
5 - 2
VOL
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 2
FEY
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 4
TWE
89%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
HFC
1 - 0
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |