PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
RAP
1 - 0
PSV
29%
25%
46%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
TWE
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
NAE
2 - 1
PSV
18%
22%
61%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 1
PSV
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
5 - 3
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1981 |
TOT
3 - 0
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
AJA
6 - 1
GRO
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 3
AJA
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |