PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
AZA
1 - 0
PSV
42%
25%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
PSV
0 - 0
MVV
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
PSV
0 - 1
ZWO
84%
10%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
AJA
0 - 0
NAC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
BUD
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 3
VOL
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |