PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
HFC
1 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
FCB
3 - 1
PSV
55%
22%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 1
TWE
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
AZA
1 - 1
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 0
FCB
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ADO
0 - 3
AJA
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
6 - 1
NEC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |