PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 2
PSV
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ADO
0 - 0
PSV
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 0
EIN
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 0
PSV
29%
26%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
PSV
4 - 0
HFC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
AJA
2 - 0
HFC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 1
NEC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
RJC
2 - 3
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |