PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
ELI
1 - 3
PSV
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
PSV
1 - 3
FEY
38%
24%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
66%
18%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 0
PSV
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
PSV
0 - 2
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
AJA
1 - 1
MVV
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
VVD
1 - 2
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
AJA
7 - 0
ELI
81%
13%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
AJA
3 - 1
TWE
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |