PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
HER
1 - 3
PSV
27%
21%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1964 |
ZUR
3 - 1
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
PSV
1 - 0
ZUR
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 1
PSV
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
AJA
2 - 3
VOL
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VVD
3 - 1
AJA
33%
23%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 1
DWS
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
HER
1 - 0
AJA
24%
20%
56%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |