PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
ADO
2 - 1
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PSV
2 - 2
NAC
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FEY
1 - 3
PSV
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 1
RAP
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
MVV
3 - 3
PSV
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
AJA
0 - 1
FEY
51%
21%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VVV
2 - 0
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1960 |
TSV
1 - 4
AJA
18%
19%
63%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
AJA
3 - 1
VVD
63%
19%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |