PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
FOR
0 - 2
PSV
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
PSV
0 - 1
ENS
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
PSV
4 - 2
SPA
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1959 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
62%
18%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
PSV
4 - 1
DWS
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1959 |
AJA
3 - 0
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
NAC
2 - 4
AJA
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
AJA
0 - 2
RAP
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1959 |
TSV
2 - 2
AJA
24%
22%
55%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
AJA
2 - 0
VVD
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |