PSV vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
TSV
1 - 3
PSV
35%
22%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VVD
2 - 2
PSV
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
PSV
2 - 0
ELI
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
FCB
0 - 2
PSV
35%
22%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ELI
2 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
54%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
AJA
2 - 0
FOR
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SPA
4 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
AJA
0 - 1
DWS
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |