PSV vs SNL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SJH
8 - 1
PSV
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
PSV
0 - 1
ELI
17%
23%
60%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
DES
4 - 2
PSV
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
YOR
1 - 0
PSV
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 2
PEU
18%
22%
61%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SNL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SNL
2 - 3
PEU
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SNL
2 - 2
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
KAM
3 - 2
SNL
39%
24%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 1
ROY
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ELI
1 - 4
SNL
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |