PSV vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 2
ROY
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
KAM
3 - 0
PSV
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
TBR
3 - 3
PSV
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 0
PSV
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
1 - 5
YOR
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
TBR
1 - 0
NOT
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 1
PEU
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 2
SJH
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SNL
1 - 0
NOT
28%
24%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |