PSNI vs Wakehurst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NEY
1 - 1
PSN
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PSN
3 - 2
DUN
67%
17%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DOL
1 - 2
PSN
29%
24%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 0
PSN
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 3
PSN
20%
22%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Wakehurst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WAK
1 - 5
LIM
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOY
4 - 1
WAK
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TOB
0 - 1
WAK
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
WAK
2 - 3
DUN
16%
18%
66%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
WAK
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |