PSNI vs Tobermore United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PSN
3 - 2
MOY
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DOL
2 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
LIM
4 - 1
PSN
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PSN
0 - 2
LIM
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
PSN
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tobermore United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 3
QUB
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MOY
0 - 1
TOB
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 0
WAR
9%
18%
73%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
DOL
1 - 0
TOB
71%
16%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RRF
0 - 0
TOB
31%
20%
49%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |