PSNI vs Tobermore United analysis

PSNI Tobermore United
25 ELO 31
23.1% Tilt 28.1%
30865º General ELO ranking 8069º
63º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
36.6%
PSNI
21.5%
Draw
41.8%
Tobermore United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
PSNI
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.8%
Win probability
Tobermore United
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

PSNI
Their league position
Tobermore United
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
12º
12º
25
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bangor
53
57
100%
Ballymacash Rangers
44
47
78%
Queens University Belfast
45
45
78%
Limavady
35
39
99%
Moyola Park
29
32
80.5%
Lisburn Distillery
27
28
30.5%
Dollingstown
24
27
25.5%
Tobermore United
25
26
41.5%
Banbridge Town
10º
20
23
65.5%
Portstewart
21
21
10º
75%
Armagh City
11º
17
18
11º
88.5%
PSNI
12º
11
14
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
PSNI
Tobermore United
Promotion play-offs
0% 32%
Relegation play-offs
0% 68%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

PSNI
Tobermore United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSNI
PSNI
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
BRF
Ballymacash Rangers
5 - 0
PSNI
PSN
87%
10%
4%
25 54 29 0
28 Jan. 2023
PSN
PSNI
1 - 2
Portstewart
POR
24%
21%
56%
26 39 13 -1
21 Jan. 2023
PSN
PSNI
1 - 2
Bangor
BAN
7%
14%
79%
26 56 30 0
07 Jan. 2023
PSN
PSNI
0 - 8
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
11%
18%
72%
26 53 27 0
02 Jan. 2023
LIM
Limavady
3 - 1
PSNI
PSN
84%
11%
5%
26 49 23 0

Matches

Tobermore United
Tobermore United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2023
TOB
Tobermore United
2 - 3
Portstewart
POR
33%
22%
45%
32 40 8 0
28 Jan. 2023
TOB
Tobermore United
2 - 0
Bangor
BAN
8%
16%
77%
30 56 26 +2
28 Jan. 2023
TOB
Tobermore United
0 - 5
Limavady
LIM
14%
20%
66%
32 50 18 -2
14 Jan. 2023
QUB
Queens University Belfast
2 - 1
Tobermore United
TOB
82%
12%
6%
33 49 16 -1
07 Jan. 2023
TOB
Tobermore United
3 - 3
Armagh City
ARC
27%
22%
52%
31 41 10 +2