PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CCF
0 - 2
PSN
12%
18%
71%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
ARC
2 - 1
PSN
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PSN
5 - 0
AUN
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GLE
6 - 0
PSN
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PSN
4 - 0
MOY
62%
20%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SYL
3 - 4
LCE
23%
22%
56%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LCE
0 - 5
POR
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LCE
0 - 4
BMF
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
LCE
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TOB
2 - 1
LCE
36%
23%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |