PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PSN
3 - 2
POR
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BMF
4 - 3
PSN
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COA
2 - 0
PSN
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
QUB
4 - 1
PSN
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CRU
6 - 1
PSN
83%
11%
5%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 3
LCE
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 3
LCE
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LCE
4 - 4
KNO
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WAK
1 - 1
LCE
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LCE
2 - 1
COA
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +4 |