PSNI vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
PSN
44%
23%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
PSN
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
PSN
4 - 1
LIM
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PSN
0 - 3
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 1
HAR
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
KNO
0 - 2
INS
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
LOU
3 - 1
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |