PSM vs Bali United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
2 - 2
PER
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
PSM
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PSM
4 - 2
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
3 - 0
PSM
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 0
PER
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bali United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PER
2 - 5
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
MAD
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 2
PUS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |