PSM vs Persela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
PSM
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PSM
2 - 0
PSI
50%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
PSM
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SRI
3 - 0
PSM
43%
24%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
MED
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
BSU
38%
23%
39%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
PSI
1 - 0
PER
37%
23%
41%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
BSU
39%
23%
38%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |